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SSM - Population Health

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match SSM - Population Health's content profile, based on 17 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Development and Psychometric Testing of the Maternity Empowerment (MPower) instrument

Buchanan, K.; KAUMANNS, A.; THALIB, L.; Leahy-Warren, P.; NIEUWENHUIJZE, M.

2026-05-18 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.05.14.26353220 medRxiv
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Introduction Perinatal Empowerment is widely referenced in maternity care research, yet its use often lacks clear conceptual definitions and validated measures. Existing instruments do not capture the multidimensional nature of perinatal empowerment, including both external dimensions (e.g., gender equity, resource access), and internal dimensions (e.g., confidence, agency and informed decision making). This gap has limited the ability to rigorously evaluate how healthcare experiences shape empowerment during pregnancy, birth, and the postpartum period. Aim To develop a valid and reliable instrument that measures dimensions of perinatal empowerment, both external and internal. Methods Instrument development followed the seven-step MEASURE framework. Initial item generation was guided by a concept analysis, a scoping review of existing instruments, and feedback from international midwifery experts. A preliminary 51-item instrument underwent expert content validity review, resulting in 48 items, which were then pilot-tested with six pregnant and postnatal women. A large-scale validation study was conducted via an international online survey (N=155). Psychometric testing included exploratory factor analysis (EFA), reliability assessment using Cronbachs , known-groups validity testing, and regression analyses adjusting for potential confounders. Results EFA supported two overarching dimensions--external and internal empowerment--with six factors across 30 final items (18 external, 12 internal). Sampling adequacy was high, and item loadings exceeded recommended thresholds. Internal consistency was strong for both dimensions (=0.88 external; =0.87 internal). Women receiving midwifery continuity of care reported significantly higher empowerment scores across total, external, and internal dimensions compared with other care models (p<.001). Differences between primiparous and multiparous women were not statistically significant. Conclusion The MPower instrument represents a conceptually grounded, psychometrically robust measure of multidimensional perinatal empowerment in high-income settings. Further validation in more diverse populations is needed to refine the instrument and expand its applicability across clinical and research contexts.

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Fertility rates across generations in twins and singletons: A total population study in Finland

Nieme de Paiva, S.; Hukkanen, M.; Latvala, A.; Kaprio, J.; Zellers, S.

2026-05-22 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.05.20.26353670 medRxiv
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Study question: Does twin status and zygosity (monozygotic vs. dizygotic; same-sex vs. opposite-sex) predict fertility outcomes and intergenerational reproductive patterns compared with singletons? Summary answer: Among females, dizygotic twins had modestly higher completed fertility than singletons and monozygotic twins and were more likely to have a twin birth. Fertility did not differ meaningfully among males. These differences were restricted to the twin generation and did not persist in the next generation, indicating sex-specific and generation-specific effects rather than intergenerational transmission. What is known already: Dizygotic twinning is associated with heritable hyperovulation and higher natural fertility but less is known about whether being a twin or zygosity influences reproductive outcomes across generations. Study design, size, duration: A population-based longitudinal cohort study using part of the Finnish Twin Cohort and national population registers. Participants included monozygotic (MZ; N = 4,068), same-sex dizygotic (SSDZ; N = 8,890), opposite-sex dizygotic (OSDZ; N = 8,474) twins, and singleton controls (N = 1,193,404) born between 1945-1957 (total N =1,254,103; 49.1% female), their mothers, their children, and their grandchildren. Participants/materials, setting, methods: Fertility outcomes (number of biological children, age at first birth, childlessness, multiple births) were derived from Finnish population registers. Analyses followed a preregistered plan (https://osf.io/qbwv3) Main results and the role of chance: Differences in fertility between singletons and twins were modest and varied by sex and zygosity. Differences were observed generally in the mothers of twins and female twins themselves, with limited differences in the offspring of twins as compared to the offspring of singletons. Twins were slightly older at first birth, had fewer total biological offspring, but were more likely to have a twin birth. Dizygotic twins in particular differed from monozygotic twins and singletons. Limitations, reasons for caution: Findings are limited to individuals born in mid-20th-century Finland and thus generalizability to recent populations or non-Nordic contexts may be restricted. Further, analyses are observational, and causal inference is limited due to alternative motivation behind fertility rates like social or cultural reasons. Wider implications of the findings: These findings suggest that zygosity and sex interact to shape reproductive outcomes, offering insight into genetic and environmental contributions to fertility. They highlight the value of large twin cohorts for studying intergenerational reproductive trends and the representativeness of twins in population-based fertility research.

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Impact of minimum wage increases on homicide mortality in the US

Fitch, K. V.; Santaularia Gomez, N. J.; Tanveer, M.; Holmes, G. M.; Moracco, K. E.; Fliss, M. D.; Fulcher, N.; Ranapurwala, S. I.

2026-05-24 health policy 10.64898/2026.05.21.26353800 medRxiv
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Introduction: Even though state minimum wage (MW) is a policy lever that affects income and poverty and can prevent of violence, no prior study has comprehensively evaluated its impact in the United States (US). In this study, we estimated the impact of at least a $1 USD increase in state MW above the federal MW on overall, firearm, and non-firearm homicide mortality and examined its impact on racialized inequities. Methods: We conducted a quasi-experimental study using controlled interrupted time series (CITS) and synthetic controlled interrupted time series (SCITS) approaches to examine immediate and sustained impact of state MW increases. We used state-month level homicide victimization mortality data from 2010-2019. Homicide victimization death was identified using International Classification of Disease codes, 10th revision. State MW data was obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Results: Demographic and social variables from intervention, never-exposed, and always-exposed states were similar to each other and representative of the total US population from all 50 states. The CITS results show that after MW increases in the intervention states, these states experienced a sustained decline of -0.22 (-0.37, -0.07) homicide victimizations/ 100,000 person-years/ year relative to the never-exposed states and -0.39 (-0.59, -0.18) relative to always-exposed states. This resulted in 5,657 fewer homicide victimization deaths in the intervention states over four years of post-MW increase period compared to the never-exposed states. SCITS results were similar to the CITS results, and the majority of sustained declines were observed in firearm-related deaths and among Black population. Conclusion: MW increase was associated with a reduction in homicide victimization rates, which were robust in multiple sensitivity analyses, more pronounced for firearm-related homicide deaths, and reduced homicide victimization inequities for Black Americans.

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Early life multidimensional disadvantage of South Australian children: a whole-population linked data study

Kalamkarian, A.; Pilkington, R. M.; Lynch, J.; Mittinty, M. N.; Malvaso, C.; Hawkins, K.; Pharo, H.; Beck, K.; Chittleborough, C. R.

2026-06-05 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354860 medRxiv
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Background: Whole-population linked administrative data platforms provide an opportunity to generate evidence on early life multidimensional disadvantage to inform resourcing and service provision to families with complex needs. Methods: We used individual-level de-identified data from nine administrative data sources included in the Better Evidence Better Outcomes Linked Data (BEBOLD) platform. The population included all children born in South Australia between 2004-2011 (n=143,083), and their parents. We described the prevalence and distribution of multiple disadvantages affecting children from the 12 months before birth to age 5. Eleven domains of parental disadvantage were created: economic, education, access to services, mental health, substance misuse, smoking during pregnancy, domestic and family violence, health, child protection contact, justice system contact, and death. We investigated the concordance of our measure with an area-level socioeconomic measure used in government reporting. Results: One in two children (48%) were exposed to at least one disadvantage domain, and one in seven (14%) were exposed to three or more domains before age five. Economic disadvantage was most prevalent, affecting one in four (27%) children, of which 75% were exposed to additional forms of disadvantage. Substance misuse, domestic and family violence, and justice system contact were the least likely domains to occur in isolation. Only 54.4% who experienced five or more disadvantage domains were classified in the area-level socioeconomic measure's 'most disadvantaged' quintile. Conclusion: Early life exposure to parental disadvantage can be highly multidimensional. Measurement across different systems is important for informing coordinated service provision for families with complex needs.

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Exploration of barriers to providing mental health care and factors supporting access to mental health care in Australian prisons

Comben, C.; Burgess, M.; Rutherford, Z.; Meurk, C.; Rivas, L.; John, J.; Diminic, S.

2026-05-14 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.05.11.26352849 medRxiv
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ObjectiveThis study aimed to understand barriers to providing mental health care in Australian prisons and explore factors supporting access to mental health care. MethodsThis qualitative study used focus groups with people with a lived experience of mental illness in prison or caring for someone in prison with mental illness and people involved in providing mental health care in prisons. Focus group transcripts were thematically analysed. ResultsFocus groups were held with eight participants. Identified barriers to providing and accessing mental health care in prison included perceived stigma, insufficient resourcing, logistics driven care, inconsistent standards, and tension between prison- and health-centred systems. Factors supporting access to mental health care in prisons included equivalence of care, individually tailored care, connection, resourcing, and coordinated care. ConclusionsIdentified barriers make providing mental health care in prisons difficult, resulting in unmet needs. Factors that support access highlight mechanisms available to improve outcomes, but their utility depends on addressing all barriers. Implications for Public HealthIdentified barriers and supporting factors can help guide service design to improve access and promote interagency collaboration across justice and health. Identified barriers can also be used to help inform evidence-based policy making, including workforce development and increased funding.

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Faith Affiliation and Nursing Home Hospitalization Performance: Evidence from a National Stratified Sample

Swaroop, P.

2026-05-13 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.05.05.26352420 medRxiv
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Background and ObjectivesSkilled nursing facility (SNF) hospitalization rates vary substantially across facilities serving comparable patient populations, yet the organizational factors underlying high performance remain poorly characterized. This study examines whether faith or mission-driven organizational identity is associated with lower-than-expected hospitalization rates in a national sample of Medicare-certified SNFs. DesignCross-sectional analysis of a stratified random sample of 618 Medicare-certified SNFs, drawn from a national cohort of 13,419 facilities with claims-based quality data. Facilities were classified by organizational identity (faith-affiliated, purpose-driven, or secular) using publicly available records. Performance was measured using CMS claims-based hospitalization and emergency department transfer rates adjusted for expected rates given patient case mix. Setting and ParticipantsMedicare-certified skilled nursing facilities in the United States, February 2026 CMS release. MethodsWe computed a composite performance gap as the mean of four z-scored observed-minus-expected measures (short-stay and long-stay hospitalization and ED transfer rates). We tested the association between faith affiliation and performance using Fishers exact test, logistic regression, OLS regression, propensity score matching, and causal mediation analysis. ResultsFaith-affiliated or purpose-driven facilities constituted 14.7% of significant overperformers (95% CI: 7.0-23.5%) and 0% of significant underperformers (95% CI: 0.0-4.4%), a monotonic gradient confirmed across all five performance zones. After propensity score matching on facility size, ownership type, and urbanicity (n=49 matched pairs), faith-affiliated facilities achieved 18.2% short-stay rehospitalization compared to 21.7% for matched secular facilities (3.5 percentage points fewer, p=0.019), and 1.30 long-stay hospitalizations per 1,000 resident-days compared to 1.71 (0.41 fewer per 1,000 days, p=0.019). Faith affiliation was associated with 61% more RN staffing hours per resident per day (0.96 vs. 0.60 hours, p<0.001), and formal mediation analysis confirmed that RN staffing hours substantially mediated the relationship between faith affiliation and hospitalization performance. Conclusions and ImplicationsFaith and mission-driven organizational identity is associated with superior hospitalization performance in a national SNF sample, mediated by elevated RN staffing intensity. These findings suggest that organizational culture and values are modifiable upstream determinants of nursing home quality, with implications for quality improvement, workforce policy, and value-based payment design.

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Snip Happens: A Retrospective Study of Vasectomy and Birth rates in Australia

Janetzki, J.; Modi, N.; Varney, B.; Pratt, N.; Ward, M.; Wiese, M.; Lim, R.; Kalisch Ellett, L.

2026-06-05 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354864 medRxiv
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Background Fertility rates in Australia have been declining over recent decades, reaching a record low total fertility rate of 1.48 births per woman in 2024. Concurrently, vasectomy remains widely accessible and increasingly normalised as a permanent contraceptive option. Despite extensive commentary on falling birth rates, no contemporary Australian study has examined vasectomy rates relative to birth rates over time. We aimed to compare population level vasectomy and birth rates across Australian jurisdictions and age groups. Study design Nationwide retrospective time-series study. Retrospective population-based study using Medicare Benefits Schedule item 37623 to identify vasectomy procedures performed between July 2015 and December 2024. Rates were calculated per 100,000 male population using quarterly Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population estimates and summarised as rolling 12-month averages. Birth rates were derived using matched ABS data for women across equivalent age strata (18-24, 25-34, 35-44 years). Results: Vasectomy rates increased nationally from 32 per 100,000 in 2016 to 55 per 100,000 in 2023 before declining modestly in 2024. Birth rates declined from 5,200 to 3,800 per 100,000 over the same period. Trends were consistent across states and age groups, with the greatest vasectomy uptake in men aged 35-44 years. Conclusion: Australia is undergoing a demographic shift characterised by rising vasectomy uptake and declining fertility. While vasectomy rates remain lower than birth rates, their convergence signals changing reproductive intentions and contraceptive behaviours. Ongoing monitoring of permanent and long-acting contraception is essential to understand evolving population dynamics and inform reproductive health policy.

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Development and evaluation of the cooperative experiences measure

Meza, B. P. L.; Dudovitz, R. N.; Hays, R. D.; Wong, M. D.

2026-05-24 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.21.26353820 medRxiv
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Given the growing crisis in youth mental health, there is a critical need to rebuild and sustain healthy social environments. Cooperative experiences (e.g., sports, clubs) may promote mental health but we lack rigorously tested measures to drive research and evaluation. This study sought to develop a measure of cooperative experiences and test associations with health. We developed and revised a measure of cooperative experiences based on interdisciplinary literature and 20 cognitive interviews. We recruited youth aged 13-25 years (N = 262) through youth-serving organizations and snowball sampling to complete an investigator-administered (n = 50) or self-administered (n = 212) survey assessing cooperative experiences (48 items), mental and physical health, and demographics. We assessed item characteristics, dimensionality, reliability, and construct validity. Multivariable linear regressions were used to estimate the association between the total score and self-reported health. Participants were 57% female, 69% Latino, 55% high school students, and 25% college students. The measure was reduced to 35 items (alpha = 0.90) with six subscales: sense of a unified group (7 items, alpha = 0.83), goal alignment (3 items, alpha = 0.80), inclusion and shared purpose (10 items, alpha = 0.88), social exclusion (2 items, alpha = 0.91), positive interdependence (7 items, alpha = 0.77), and negative interdependence (6 items, alpha = 0.87). A higher total score was associated with better self-reported mental health (beta = 0.25 standard deviation change in health score for each standard deviation change in cooperation scale, 95% CI [0.108, 0.394], p = 0.001) and self-reported general health (beta = 0.25, 95% CI [0.107, 0.395], p = 0.001). The study provides preliminary support for the reliability and validity of a new measure of exposure to cooperative experiences among youth. The measure holds promise as a tool to examine the relationship between social environments and health outcomes in real-world settings.

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Arts and Cultural Engagement and Multidimensional Well-being in Later Life

Noguchi, T.; Erhua, S.; Hayashi, T.

2026-06-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354582 medRxiv
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Background and Objectives: Arts and cultural engagement may contribute to well-being in later life. However, evidence from longitudinal studies from Asia, including Japan, remains limited. This study examined the association of arts and cultural engagement with subsequent multidimensional well-being among older adults in Japan, one of the fastest-aging countries. Research Design and Methods: This longitudinal study used panel data from 354 individuals aged 60 and older (mean age 74.0 years; 78.6% women) who completed self-administered questionnaires by mail between 2022 and 2024. The PERMA-Profiler was used to assess five multifaceted aspects of psychological well-being: positive emotion, engagement, relationships, meaning, and accomplishment. Frequencies of arts and cultural engagement at baseline were measured for active (e.g., activities by individuals and participation in groups, such as music and painting) and receptive (e.g., visiting museums, galleries, and theaters) forms. Results: Multivariable linear regression analysis, adjusted for the covariates including baseline PERMA scores, showed that higher frequencies of active engagement were positively associated with higher PERMA scores for all domains. Higher frequencies of receptive engagement were associated with the domains of positive emotion, meaning, and accomplishment, but not clearly associated with engagement and relationships. Restricted cubic spline analyses suggested clearer positive frequency-response patterns for active engagement than for receptive engagement. Discussion and Implications: Arts and cultural engagement, both active and receptive forms, was associated with subsequent multiple aspects of well-being in later life. These findings suggest the importance of ensuring access to arts and cultural opportunities for older adults to create, participate, and connect.

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Occupational hierarchy, racialization, and COVID-19 health outcomes among meat processing plant workers in Alberta: a community-engaged mixed-methods study

Essar, M. Y.; Norrie, E.; Cerino, E. R.; Antonio, M.; Saad, A.; Yemane, M.; Holdbrook, L.; Sahilie, A.; Youssef, M.; Hassan, N.; Magwood, O.; Edwards, S. T.; Spitzer, D.; Coakley, A.; Pottie, K.; Fabreau, G. E.

2026-05-20 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.14.26353257 medRxiv
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Background Meat processing plants in Alberta, Canada experienced among North America's largest COVID-19 outbreaks. We examined health impacts among workers by occupational hierarchy and equity-relevant characteristics. Methods This exploratory sequential mixed-methods study was guided by community-based participatory research and the PROGRESS-Plus framework. Multilingual qualitative interviews and surveys using validated instruments were conducted among meat plant workers who experienced outbreaks. Interviews were analysed using inductive-deductive thematic analysis. Multivariable logistic regression and linear regression estimated associations between occupational group, racialization, facility, and self-reported COVID-19 diagnosis, physical and mental health, and mean Everyday Discrimination Scale score. We integrated findings using joint displays. Findings Qualitative and integrated analysis of thirty-six interviews described occupational hierarchy shaping unequal protection, limited communication, constrained agency, and psychosocial harms, amplified by income insecurity and family separation. Among 187 survey respondents, compared with general labour, skilled labour (aOR 0.38; 95% CI 0.15-0.89) and management (aOR 0.13; 95% CI 0.01-0.75) had lower odds of reported COVID-19 diagnosis. Compared with Black workers, other racialized workers had lower odds of reporting fair or poor mental (aOR 0.24; 95% CI 0.09-0.58) and physical health (aOR 0.20; 95% CI 0.06-0.54). Compared with workers from the primary facility, others reported lower mean everyday discrimination scores ({beta} = -0.54; 95% CI -0.96 to -0.12). Interpretation COVID-19 harms followed workplace social hierarchies. Pandemic preparedness should combine infection-control measures with paid sick leave and income protection, multilingual communication, enforceable anti-discrimination standards, and independent reporting mechanisms. Funding Canadian Institutes for Health Research (CIHR Application no. 469206). Keywords COVID-19, immigrant workers, migrants, essential workers, health equity, occupational health, PROGRESS Plus

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Developing a Unified Criminal Justice Pathway into Drug and Alcohol Treatment from Police Custody: A Public Health Service Evaluation and Pathway-Design Project in Blackpool, United Kingdom

Badmos, A. O.; AbdulKareem, A. O.; Mills, J.; Gawne, A.; Idris, T.

2026-06-10 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.06.07.26355095 medRxiv
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Introduction: Blackpool, England's most deprived local authority, has the highest drug-related death rate in the country. People in police custody with problem substance use are a key Core20PLUS5 inclusion-health group, yet referral from the police into structured drug and alcohol treatment is fragmented and relies heavily on self-report. We evaluated the current police-to-treatment route in Blackpool and designed an evidence-informed unified pathway. Materials and Methods: A mixed-methods service evaluation and pathway-design project was conducted during a six-month General Practice / Public Health rotation. Routinely collected referral data from Horizon (the local specialist drug and alcohol service) covering the 47-month period from December 2019 to October 2023 were analysed. Findings were triangulated with national policy, the Project ADDER and Liaison and Diversion evaluations, and the international evidence on police-led pre-arrest diversion. Results: Of 5,900 total referrals into Horizon over 47 months, only 269 (4.56%) originated from the police. Police referrals accounted for fewer than 5% of monthly referrals in 30 of 47 months, for 5 to 9.9% in 16 months, and for >/= 10% in only one month (10.8%, December 2022). Blackpool recorded 76 drug-misuse deaths in 2019-21 (19.4 per 100,000, approximately four times the England rate). A six-step unified pathway is proposed: Initiate Referral (opt-out, from ADDER Police and Liaison and Diversion); Initial Assessment; Tailored Treatment Plan; Continuous Support; Collaboration and Monitoring; and Evaluation and Adjustment. Conclusions: Police contact is markedly under-used as a gateway to treatment despite Blackpool having the highest drug-related mortality in England. An opt-out, multi-agency pathway anchored in Core20PLUS5 has the potential to narrow the treatment gap, reduce re-offending, and address the structural health inequalities that drive premature mortality.

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Evaluating trends in new cases of Work-Related Mental Ill-health after introduction of The Health and Safety Executives Management Standards

Gittins, M.; Iheozor-Ejiofor, Z.; Carder, M.; Money, A.; Iskandar, I.; Gartland, N.; Fishwick, D.; Seed, M.; Mchale, G.; Byrne, L.; van Tongeren, M.

2026-05-12 occupational and environmental health 10.64898/2026.05.08.26352738 medRxiv
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BackgroundWork-related stress (WRS) accounts for 52% of self-reported work-related ill-health. In 2004, the Health and Safety Executive (HSE) developed the Management Standards (MS), aimed at helping organisations reduce WRS. This work investigates WRS post implementation, with reference to six MS risk factor domains: control, support, relationships, demand, change, and role. MethodCases of WRS were extracted from The Health and Occupation Research (THOR) database and mapped to the six domains. Trends in WRS incidence rates attributed to each of the domains were split at 2004 and compared with the overall WRS trend using mixed generalised regression models. ResultsBefore 2004, annual incidence in WRS increased by 1.4%(-0.5%,3.1%), whereas after 2004, there was a decrease of -0.9%(-1.5%,-0.2%), based on 10,815 WRS cases reported between 1996 and 2019. Three of the six MS domains (demands, relationships, and change) were reported in [~]82% of cases. Pre-2004, four of the six domains were observed to be increasing per year. Post 2004, cases increasingly contained multiple precipitating events e.g. demands + another (+2.6% per year) and relationships + another (6.1%). Reports of the two most common domains decreased post 2004 (demands -0.46%, relationships -0.55% per year), whereas incidence in less common domains increased (change 1.1%, support 2.4%, control 4.8%, role 4.7%). ConclusionTrends in WRS, and their common risk factors appear to be decreasing gradually, since introduction of MS in 2004. However, less common risk factors are becoming more prominent, contributing to reporting of WRS with multiple risk factors.

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Systematic Analysis of Housing Referral Outcomes in New York City's WholeYouNYC Social Care Network: Identifying Barriers to Service Connection

Conde, F.

2026-05-22 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353634 medRxiv
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Background: Health-related social needs (HRSNs), particularly housing instability, are significant drivers of poor health outcomes among Medicaid populations. New York State's Social Care Networks (SCNs) aim to systematically connect members to housing services through coordinated referral systems. However, limited systematic analysis of referral patterns hinders quality improvement efforts. We analyzed housing referral outcomes and workflows to identify barriers to successful service connections. Methods: We conducted a mixed-methods quality improvement study at Public Health Solutions' WholeYouNYC SCN Coordination Center. Quantitative analysis examined 4,258 housing referrals submitted between June 2025 and January 2026, extracted from the Unite Us platform via Power BI dashboard. We calculated acceptance rates, analyzed time metrics, and examined outcomes by receiving organization. Qualitative data were collected through structured consultations with 7 staff members (5 navigators, 2 supervisors) and review of internal workflow documentation. Process mapping identified workflow bottlenecks. Results: Of 4,258 housing referrals, only 45% (n=1,936) were accepted by receiving organizations, while 19% (n=815) were rejected and 32% (n=1,382) remained awaiting response with no recorded action. Average time to acceptance was 8 days for accepted referrals. Acceptance rates were consistent across top receiving organizations (44-46%), suggesting systemic rather than partner-specific barriers. Analysis of unresolved referrals revealed prolonged cases, with the longest pending 271 days. Three critical workflow bottlenecks were identified: CBO response delays, missing housing documentation, and challenges with client engagement. Conclusions: Low housing connection rates (45%) and prolonged unresolved referrals (up to 271 days) indicate systemic barriers requiring interventions at multiple levels. Recommendations include establishing CBO response time benchmarks, implementing automated follow-up protocols, standardizing documentation requirements, and enhancing real-time data monitoring. These findings provide an evidence-based framework for quality improvement in social care coordination programs.

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Same household, different choices: variation in health behaviors related to respiratory viruses in Illinois

Larsen, S. L.; Yang, J.; Haslett, E. M.; Anastasi, A.; Venegas, A.; Schieleit, L.; Mahmud, A.; Martinez, P. P.

2026-05-28 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354179 medRxiv
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While SARS-CoV-2 and influenza continue to place a significant burden on population health, within-household differences in decisions towards vaccination and seeking care across these two pathogens, and across sociodemographic groups, remain largely unexplored. By conducting a household-level survey in Illinois, we found that many individuals made inconsistent decisions about vaccination: among all adults, 29% were vaccinated for only one of COVID-19 or influenza, and among those with children in the home, 39% lived with a child whose influenza or COVID-19 vaccination status differed from their own. A higher proportion of adults were vaccinated against COVID-19 compared to influenza, while the opposite was true for those younger than 18 years old. These differences hold even when accounting for disparities in coverage by age, race/ethnicity, political affiliation, and socioeconomic status. While vaccinated individuals consistently reported wanting to protect themselves or others, those who declined vaccination reported highly heterogeneous reasons ranging from resource constraints to distrust or misconceptions about vaccination. These differences are even more pronounced for COVID-19, with larger partisan gaps and higher refusal driven by safety concerns, lack of trust, or religious reasons than those who decide not to get the influenza vaccine. In contrast to vaccination, the decision to seek medical care when sick showed opposite sociodemographic trends, that are likely attributable to illness severity. Our findings highlight that closing gaps in COVID-19 and influenza vaccination coverage will require an integrative strategy that accounts for diverse motivations, fears, and barriers to access, while addressing social inequalities common to both diseases.

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Bias from small-count suppression in county-level cancer disparity estimates: a calibrated simulation study

gahan, k.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26355021 medRxiv
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Abstract Background. Area-level cancer disparities are routinely estimated from public county data in which rates based on small counts (fewer than 16 cases or deaths) are suppressed. Analysts typically drop suppressed counties (complete-case analysis). Because suppression depends on case counts tied to population size and demographic composition, this missingness may be informative, but its effect on the disparity estimate has not, to our knowledge, been quantified. Methods. In a cross-sectional ecological study of 3,143 U.S. counties (analytic sample 3,018 with computable exposure) using one frozen public release of NCI State Cancer Profiles incidence and mortality data and ACS 2018-2022 5-year data, we estimated the most- versus least-deprived ICE(race+income) quintile rate ratio (RR) and rate difference for female breast, stomach, and cervix cancers under four suppression-handling methods: complete-case, available-case, bounding, and model-based small-area estimation. We characterized which counties were erased, and, following the ADEMP framework, ran a Monte Carlo simulation (1,000 replicates per cell; Monte Carlo standard error of bias approximately 0.0025) calibrated to the release to measure bias against a known truth. Analyses were pre-registered. Results. The suppressed fraction rose with rarity: 7.4% of counties for breast, 61.3% for stomach, and 75.7% for cervix incidence. Suppression was concentrated in the most-deprived quintile (cervix, 81.8% suppressed vs 63.8% least-deprived) and overwhelmingly removed rural rather than minority residents (cervix: 81% of the rural but 9% of the minority population erased). For breast (little suppression) the RR was 0.87 (95% CI 0.85-0.89) and identical across methods; for cervix incidence the complete-case RR (1.56) exceeded the model-based estimate (1.50), and for cervix mortality (91% suppressed) complete-case (1.86) exceeded model-based (1.56) by 16% with a wide bounding interval (1.88-2.62). In calibrated simulation, population-weighted complete-case bias was small (less than 2%) at the observed deprivation-county-size correlation and grew with rarity, threshold, and unweighted aggregation; its direction was conditional, becoming positive (over-estimation) as deprived counties became smaller. Conclusions. Complete-case handling of suppressed counties over-estimates rare-cancer area disparities relative to methods that retain them, while silently erasing most of the rural and most-deprived communities the estimate is meant to represent. The effect is negligible for common cancers and grows with rarity. Public-data disparity analyses should report the suppressed fraction and use bounded or model-based estimates by default. Keywords: cancer disparities; small-count suppression; Index of Concentration at the Extremes; informative missingness; small-area estimation; rural health.

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Knowledge and utilization of family planning and safe abortion services among married women of reproductive age in the Raute community of Nepal: a census-based cross-sectional study

Joshi, M.; Bhatt, A.; Khanal, S.; Sharma, A.; Thapa, M.; PC, A.

2026-05-21 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.05.18.26353535 medRxiv
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Indigenous and nomadic communities worldwide face disproportionate and persistent barriers to reproductive health services, including family planning and safe abortion. The Raute of Nepal -- one of the country's last nomadic hunter-gatherer groups represent a uniquely marginalized population for whom no prior population-level quantitative reproductive health data exist. This gap prevents health authorities and program implementers from designing evidence-based, culturally appropriate interventions for this community. This census-based cross-sectional study enrolled all 192 eligible married women of reproductive age in the Raute community of Parshuram Municipality, Dadeldhura district, Sudurpaschim Province, Nepal. Data were collected through structured, pre-tested, face-to-face interviews, and analyzed using descriptive statistics, chi-square tests, and binary logistic regression in IBM SPSS version 16. More than half of participants (53.6%) currently used family planning, with injectable contraceptives being the most common method (42.7%), followed by female sterilization (33.0%) and implants (24.3%). Condom use was negligible at 1.0%. Among non-users (46.4%), 97.7% cited lack of interest as the primary reason for non-use. Knowledge of safe abortion services was reported by 61.5% of women, yet only 8.3% had ever accessed such services, and awareness of Nepal's national safe abortion policy, which has been in effect since 2002 was critically low at 10.4%. In bivariate analysis, no socio-demographic or socioeconomic variable was significantly associated with family planning use. The sole significant independent predictor of current family planning utilization in the adjusted logistic regression model was non-utilization of safe abortion services (adjusted odds ratio = 4.275; 95% confidence interval: 1.145-15.954; p = 0.030), suggesting that contraceptive use and abortion service use represent alternative reproductive management strategies in this community. Younger age ([&le;]30 years) and urban residence were significantly associated with safe abortion use in bivariate analysis but were attenuated after adjustment, reflecting limited statistical power arising from the small number of outcome events (n = 16). These findings reveal critical gaps in reproductive method diversity, safe abortion policy literacy, and male partner engagement. Community-based mobile outreach tailored to nomadic movement patterns, targeted legal literacy programs in the local language, and structured male involvement strategies are urgently required to improve reproductive health equity in this vulnerable indigenous population.

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Mortality in people with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD): Examining how risk is embodied in a pooling of two prospective cohort studies

Li, H.; Ford, T.; Warrier, V.; Bell, S.; Batty, G. D.

2026-06-09 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355148 medRxiv
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Background. Nascent findings suggest that people with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) experience higher rates of mortality. To date, study samples have been insufficiently well-characterized to examine the mechanisms via which this neurodevelopmental condition elevates mortality risk. Methods. We used data from the 2007 and 2011 waves of the US National Health Interview Survey, a general population-based cohort study comprising 52097 adults (28675 women) aged 18 years or older at baseline. ADHD diagnosis and an array of demographic, socioeconomic, lifestyle, and co-morbidity (somatic and psychiatric) covariates were self-reported. Findings. At baseline, compared with unaffected individuals, participants with ADHD were more likely to be socioeconomically disadvantaged, smoke cigarettes, consume alcohol, and report symptoms of psychological distress. A median 7.75 years of mortality surveillance (range: 7.25-12.25) gave rise to 6597 deaths from all-causes. After adjustment for age, sex, ethnicity, and survey year, ADHD was associated with a markedly elevated risk of death (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.58 [1.20-2.09]). Statistical adjustment for socioeconomic circumstances (11% attenuation), physical co-morbidities (15%), and lifestyle factors (17%) had only a modest impact on the ADHD-death gradient, with the greatest explanatory power apparent for symptoms of depression and anxiety (58%). The magnitude of the association of ADHD with mortality was commensurate to that for several well-established risk factors such as poverty (1.66 [1.55-1.78]), hypertension (1.41 [1.32-1.51]), and diabetes (1.71 [1.59-1.85]) but somewhat lower than cigarette smoking (2.51 [2.29-2.76]) after controlling for age, sex, ethnicity, and survey year. Associations between ADHD and cause-specific mortality from cardiovascular disease, cancer, and chronic respiratory disease were inconclusive. Interpretation. In the present study, the influence of ADHD on total mortality appears to be largely embodied via a series of malleable characteristics, particularly mental illness. If confirmed elsewhere, these results raise the possibility that risk factor modification via standard pharmacological and behavioral interventions could help reduce rates of premature mortality in this patient group. Funding. This paper received no direct funding. GDB is supported by the UK Medical Research Council (MR/P023444/1) and the US National Institute on Aging (1R56AG052519-01, 1R01AG052519-01A1).

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Associations between lack of social support and food insecurity: A cross-sectional analysis of the 2024 BRFSS

Krishna, E. S. C.; Shanavas, N.; Mir, F.; Kothapeta, A.; Duluc, C.; Kale, R.; Bheemanakunta, P.; Mathur, E.

2026-05-27 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.24.26353990 medRxiv
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Objective: To verify the association between perceived social & emotional support and self-reported food insecurity in the United States Design: Cross-sectional secondary data analysis Setting: Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) data from 2024, collected via a nationwide telephone survey. Food insecurity was defined as responding always, usually, or sometimes to "During the past 12 months how often did the food that you bought not last, and you didn't have money to buy more?" Social support was measured using a BRFSS item assessing the frequency with which respondents received the social and emotional support they needed. Adjusted logistic regression models were used to assess the relationship between these variables while controlling for a wide variety of demographic, socioeconomic, and health status factors. Participants: Adults (n = 190,577) aged 18-80 years old (72.3% non-Hispanic White) Results: Individuals who reported only "sometimes" receiving the social and emotional support they need were more likely to report food insecurity as compared to those who "always" receive such support (aOR = 1.75; 95% CI 1.56, 1.96). Conclusions: These findings indicate that decreased social support may put individuals at higher risk of food insecurity. Future work should seek to understand the mechanisms of this association to inform targeted policy and other interventional programs.

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Stigmatization of Indigenous patients in healthcare: Co-development and validation of a measurement tool

Tremblay, M.-C.; Iradukunda, E.; Cassivi, C.; Breault, P.; Briere, E.; Collerette, C.; Fletcher, C.; Renaud, J.-S.; Beaulieu, M.

2026-06-09 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355055 medRxiv
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Introduction Indigenous peoples in Canada face persistent health inequities rooted in colonialism, systemic racism, discrimination and social exclusion, all of which operate with particular intensity within healthcare institutions. Despite a growing qualitative literature documenting the discrimination and stigmatisation of Indigenous people by healthcare professionals, no validated instrument existed in the Canadian context to measure the stigmatizing attitudes and behaviors of clinicians toward this population. Aim This study aimed to co-develop and validate an instrument using clinical case vignettes designed to capture the affective, cognitive, and behavioral dimensions of stigmatization of indigenous peoples. Method Following Boateng et al.'s three-phase scale development approach, a multidisciplinary team including Indigenous patient partners, researchers, clinicians, and measurement experts generated 244 items across three paired clinical vignettes addressing type 2 diabetes, chronic back pain, and depressive disorder. Each vignette was developed in two versions, one featuring an Indigenous patient (test) and one featuring a non-Indigenous patient (control), distinguished solely by name and origin. Content validity was assessed by an expert committee using a Content Validity Index. The instrument was subsequently administered to a sample of nurses and physicians from two canadian health institutions using a twelve-arm randomization design. Analyses were carried to assess the internal structure of the instrument, convergent and concurrent validity as well as internal consistency. Results Our results show that the instrument developed has good psychometric qualities, particularly in terms of internal consistency, concurrent validity and factor structure, which reflects the theoretical structure assumed. Concurrent validity of the tool with the M-PATAS scale demonstrated weak to moderate significant correlations. Developed through a participatory process centering Indigenous expertise and lived experience, this instrument constitutes a significant methodological advance in the study of racialized stigmatization in Canadian healthcare.

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Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome Among US Adults, 1999-2023: National Trends and Projections Through 2050

Fu, F.; Wei, A.; Wang, G.; Fang, S.; Chen, J.; Liu, W.; Liu, H.; Gao, X.; Lei, Y.; Guo, N.; Chen, M.; Yu, J.; Wang, Y.; Li, S.; Mao, Y.; Yan, L.

2026-06-10 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355220 medRxiv
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Background Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome integrates adiposity, metabolic risk, kidney dysfunction, and cardiovascular disease in a prevention-oriented framework. National estimates across 1999-2023 NHANES and future burden remain limited. Methods We analyzed US adults aged 20 years from 11 NHANES cycles, 1999-2000 through August 2021-August 2023. CKM stage 0-4 was assigned using harmonized examination, laboratory, medication, and questionnaire data. Prevalence was survey-weighted and standardized to the 2010 US Census adult population. Decade trends used survey-weighted logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, and race and ethnicity. Exploratory 2040 and 2050 projections combined NHANES prevalence models with US Census projections under population-aging-only, trend-continuation, and risk-improvement scenarios. Results Among 62,890 eligible adults, 62,888 had sufficient CKM data. In 2021-2023, age-standardized prevalence was 87.9% (95% CI, 86.5%-89.4%) for CKM stage 1 and 62.0% (95% CI, 60.1%-63.8%) for stages 2-4. Stage 2 accounted for 50.1% (95% CI, 48.2%-51.9%) and stages 3-4 for 11.9% (95% CI, 11.0%-12.7%). From 1999-2000 to 2021-2023, any CKM increased by 4.6 percentage points (95% CI, 2.4 to 6.9; P<0.001), whereas stages 2-4 changed by 2.1 percentage points (95% CI, 5.1 to 0.8; P=0.156). In adjusted decade models, any CKM increased (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.19-1.38; P<0.001), while stages 2-4 showed no significant linear trend (OR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.89-1.01; P=0.084). Excess adiposity and diabetes increased, dyslipidemia declined, and hypertension, chronic kidney disease, and clinical cardiovascular disease were stable. With population aging alone, projected stages 2-4 burden rose from 164.8 million adults in 2023 to 193.7 million in 2050; under risk improvement, it was 147.7 million. Conclusions CKM syndrome remained highly prevalent among US adults. Although later stages did not increase significantly, population aging may expand the absolute care burden unless broad risk improvement occurs.